Untested solution, just a thought really, but what if 'value' => 'NOW()'
so that you avoid having to pass the date, which seems like it’s probably the issue?
EDIT
Alternate solution: Your SQL date format is wrong. It should be $todaysDate = date( 'Y-m-d' )
, that should also be the format it is stored in if the row format is DATE
or TIME
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